Bob Tisdale has got himself lost in a world of uncertainty. He's written an article at WUWT (archived here) with the headline: "February 2016 Global Surface Temperature Anomalies May or May Not Have Been Highest on Record, According to the UKMO".
In fact it was the hottest February on record. What Bob does to support his claim is say how the UK Met Office Hadley Centre publishes uncertainty limits with the global surface temperature data. Bob went looking for any month that might have had an anomaly that came close. He couldn't find any other February, but he did find a January. He wrote:
As shown, the lower February 2016 value for the global temperature anomaly is +0.92 deg C referenced to the years of 1961-1990. This was exceeded by the upper January 2007 value of +0.98 deg C. Just in case you’re having trouble seeing that in Figure 1, see the graph here, which starts the data in January 1997. So the best the alarmists could claim, according to the HadCRUT4 data, is that the February 2016 global surface temperature anomalies may or may not have been the highest on record when considering the uncertainties of the data.Seriously? Poor Bob is really stretching. The fact is that it was the hottest February on record. There was no other February that came close, not within the widest 95% probability bounds. According to the Met Office Hadley Centre, the February was hotter than the average of 1961-1990 by 1.057 +/- 0.136 °C.
Incidentally, Bob really didn't need to scour the records to find another month where the uncertainty ranges of the monthly anomalies overlapped. They didn't just overlap in January 2007, they also overlapped in every month from August 2015 to January 2016. It's been getting very hot lately.
Here are some charts for you using data from the UK Met Office. The first one is monthly global (all months). See the little spike that Bob was desperately latching on to in January 2007, where the upper range of uncertainty is just pipping the lower 95% line of February 2016:
The second one is February only. There was no other February that came anywhere close:
Bob continues to peddle his zany notion that global warming is "natural" - that is, it's getting hotter because it's getting hotter. Also known as "it's magic". He stopped short of trying to claim that all the warming of the past 65 years is "magic" - he probably knows that would sound ridiculous, even to the climate hoaxers at WUWT.
From the WUWT comments
There was the usual nonsense being spouted, not just from Bob Tisdale.
Despite being a regular on the world's most viewed climate website (not), Bloke down the pub hasn't learnt a thing. That's not surprising. One doesn't go to WUWT to learn about climate. He needs to spend some time on a proper climate website:
March 30, 2016 at 6:35 am
So the most that can be reasonably claimed is that temperatures continue to recover from the last ice age, and that we haven’t entered a new one, yet.
Mark tells no-one in particular that everyone should ignore Bob Tisdale's tedious articles:
March 30, 2016 at 7:24 am (excerpt)Pamela Gray tells no-one in particular what is wrong with the fans of WUWT:
Global average temperature is meaningless. It’s propaganda, a measurement of global average temperature has no scientific value unless accurately knowing the global average temperature is the scientific goal. Other than that it is a useless value.
March 30, 2016 at 6:50 am
Belief trumps data. A person can even lose jobs over this established human trait. The data can demonstrate completely the opposite case, yet belief will triumph over it more often than not. Those who show data with detached examination are rare and often not well-liked. And frequently unemployed.
I've saved the best or worst idea for last, though it came first. Marcus wants to condemn the incoming President to death by a zillion charts, but only if it's Ted Cruz or Donald Trump:
March 30, 2016 at 5:53 am
Bob T, when Trump or Cruz is elected as POTUS, I will put my vote in for you as nominee for Science Advisor to the president ! I am sure your vast knowledge will be needed to rid the U.S. of all the $#^& Holdren has covered the White House in…. ( Just because I’m half Canadian does not make me bias in my choice )..Never stop !