So far there have been 12 articles at WUWT protesting the NOAA paper that came out last Thursday - by my count. Not including the first two, which broke embargo, that's more than two protests a day. We're still waiting for Anthony's promised fatal weakness.
- Fred Singer decided it was wrong because of "Wow" and "Oh Boy" (the article at American Thinker was cross-posted at WUWT, without the "WoW!")
- Anthony Watts and Bob Tisdale decided it was wrong because of something or the other but they couldn't say what. In the same article Judith Curry, though she didn't show much sign of having read the paper properly, decided that BEST was BETTER (She probably didn't know that Berkeley Earth has a higher rate of warming from 1998 to 2012 than Karl15 shows. Nor was she aware that this work built on very detailed paper on ERSST v4 and HadSST, which was published last February.)
- Pat'n Chip'n Dick decided that instead of adding a fraction to one part of the data, the scientists should have subtracted it from the other - they couldn't work out that the impact on the trend is identical
- Bob Tisdale got out his trusty Microsoft Paint application and seems to be arguing that the authors should have relied solely on night marine temperature instead of carefully analysing all the buoy and ship data available for ERSST v4. (He also doesn't seem to have realised that buoys are increasing in proportion to ships as data sources.)
- Christopher Monckton figured that warming at the surface defies the laws of thermodynamics
- Ross McKitrick forgot any stats he'd learnt as Alexander Coulter shows
- Josh figured he'd hop along for the ride and show that he's not the brightest spark in the universe
- The Cornwall Alliance chappie just regurgitated some of the above. He didn't have anything else to add, but thought he'd join in with the chorus of denial
- David Middleton figured that if there really wasn't any pause in surface warming then that means that global warming might not be happening after all. (There's no logic involved in being a denier.)
- David Deming thought he'd show that scientists don't know nuffin about climate because geologists figured out how old the earth is, or something
- Anthony jumped the gun initially, alleging fraud by the NOAA, and because no-one knew what he was referring to...
- ...he did it again, this time alleging the NOAA lied.
I looked over all the different reasons for denial and admit that the only fatal weaknesses I could see were those made by deniers themselves.
There were, of course, conspiracy theories galore flying about. And not just from Anthony's chorus. Anthony himself decided from the outset that the NOAA committed fraud and lied. Subsequently, he called up a dead President, a 19th century battle and a dead Japanese Marshall Admiral as proof.
I know you're probably weary of reading about this paper - but that's about all that's occupying the deniers at WUWT at the moment. It's made an impression.
If you missed all the fuss and want to know what it's about, there's a description of the work and the main findings in the article below, with links to the paper, related work, and other articles about it. The second link is to an email comment by one of the authors, Dr Tom Peterson, with an interesting comment about the background to the work, from Dr Peter Thorne:
- NOAA: No pause in the global surface temperature - main article describing the NOAA paper (Karl15) published in Science
- The perversity of deniers - and the "pause" that never was with Tom Peterson - Anthony Watts' email with the full response from Tom Peterson
- More perversity from Anthony Watts @wattsupwiththat - about a very odd Twitter protest from Anthony Watts
- Pausing for a dozen protests at WUWT - summary of a dozen WUWT protests
- NOAA global temperature paper prompts a torrent of paranoid conspiracies at WUWT
- No pause in the frenzy of denial: at WUWT
- No pause in the frenzy of denial: S. Fred Singer
- Anthony Watts alleges fraud by the NOAA - Anthony's pre-embargo announcement "preparing the ground" and his first allegation of fraud