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Thursday, April 24, 2014

El Niño by July?

Sou | 11:49 PM Go to the first of 2 comments. Add a comment

As an interlude from deniersville, you may know by now there is most probably an El Niño forming and the latest ENSO report from BoM (22 April 2014) suggests it might be in evidence as early as July.

I took one of the charts that looks interesting. It's a chart of sea temperatures at depth in the equatorial Pacific over the four months from January to April inclusive. The latitude range is from 120E to 80W (Sulawesi to Equador) and it slices down to 400m.  I turned it into an animation. This is the result. Click the image to enlarge it.

Adapted from BoM ENSO report
\You can read more about ENSO and its phases here.

2 comments:

Bernard J. said...

Robert Scribbler deserves a mention:

http://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2014/04/17/potential-for-el-nino-spikes-as-record-pacific-ocean-heat-content-continues-to-emerge/

Mikeh said...

And Rob Painting has a nice explanation of the Equatorial Kelvin Wave here
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Is-a-Powerful-El-Nino-Brewing-in-the-Pacific-Ocean.html