Anthony Watts is busy trying to divert attention from all the record hot temperatures. He has posted another article from Ari Halperin. He's the chap who created a Google search tool for deniers, which filters out science websites and only leaves in denier websites.
Here is what Anthony doesn't want to say too much about:
|Figure 1 | January only - global mean surface temperature January 1880 to January 2016. Data source:GISS NASA|
And below are six denier talking points, with full on conspiracy ideation, that he posted instead.
1. Scientific consensus on the greenhouse effect goes back to the 1800s
Ari's first point is, in typical denier fashion, non-specific:
- The alarmists first declared “scientific consensus” in 1988, and have been digging their heels in, persecuting skeptics, and constantly suppressing scientific inquiry since then, just as Richard Lindzen reported in 1992. They have been repeating their mantras and persecuting all other viewpoints.
2. Ari's "soviet plot" conspiracy, tinged with Al-Qaeda
- The term “climate change denial” entered the language in 2004 suddenly and without identifiable real-world cause. This is consistent with the existence of a centralized (like Sovinform) or semi-centralized (like al-Qaeda) body, which determines the party line and issues marching orders to writers and activists. Of course, a single phrase does not prove this, but there is multiple other evidence to that effect.
3. National consensus vs scientific consensus
- As the alleged “scientific consensus” has grown in the last 30 years, the national consensus has declined.
4. The "global cooling" myth
- Before global warming hysteria, there was a global cooling hysteria.
|Figure 2 | The number of papers classified as predicting, implying, or providing supporting evidence for future global cooling, warming, and neutral categories as defined in the text and listed in Table 1. During the period from 1965 through 1979, our literature survey found 7 cooling, 20 neutral, and 44 warming papers. Source: Peterson et al (2008)|
5. Science is Orwellian
- “Greenhouse gases” is an Orwellian Newspeak phrase, popularized by the alarmists to confuse the public, and thus does not belong in the English language. Infrared absorbing gases might be better. On the other hand, the greenhouse effect is an old scientific term, which became misinterpreted by people who are familiar with neither agriculture nor science.
6. Carbon pollution has an ominous meaning
That's right, carbon pollution does have an ominous meaning. It describes the fact that we're polluting the precious air surrounding our planet with a waste product of fossil fuel combustion. That pollution is what is causing our world to heat up at a dangerous pace. You'll notice Ari's use of the term "czar", which ties in with his Soviet-Al Qaeda conspiracy, mentioned above.
- An even worse offender is the term “carbon pollution,” which seems silly rambling at first sight, but acquires a very ominous meaning when used by the Obama administration with John Holdren as science czar.
Using Google's nGram
Usually, I do not give much weight to claims that Google Search unfairly discriminates against X or Y. These complaints sound like sour grapes, and Google has too much to lose and too little to gain from such actions. But the case of climate change seems totally different. Google’s chairman, Eric Schmidt, talks like a fanatical alarmist. He really believes that the orthodox alarmist position is the scientific truth.When I clicked on Google Books nGram Viewer, it came up with a search for the words "Albert Einstein, Sherlock Holmes, Frankenstein". That might have come from an old search that I've forgotten about, or it might have just come from Google. Anyway, using Ari's logic, this probably means that Frankenstein, Albert Einstein and Sherlock Homes are part of an Al Qaeda plot of Soviet proportions or something (click to enlarge):
|Figure 3 | How Albert Einstein, Sherlock Holmes and Frankenstein are part of a Soviet/Al Qaeda plot. Source: Google|
National and scientific consensus about what?
Ari plugged in the terms "national consensus" and "scientific consensus" (without qualification - no climate word was included), and came to the rather odd conclusion:
Unfortunately, as the fake scientific consensus has been growing, the phrase national consensus has been declining (Fig. 2). It is hard to write this off as merely coincidence. But I am not certain of cause–effect relations. It is possible that the spread of climate alarmism has contributed to political polarization, or that the increasing political polarization allowed climate alarmism to flourish.One thing it does show is that Ari is not at all competent in analysing data. Here is a site mentioning "national consensus", and below are some sites mentioning scientific consensus:
- The science of immunisation - article at the Australian Academy of Science
- Scientific consensus and evolution - article at the American Association of University Professors website
- Scientific consensus and the Big Bang - article on Space.com
Conspiracies abound at climate conspiracy central: WUWT
The term climate change denial is strange on its own: skeptics do not deny “climate change,” but rather debate its nature, definition, magnitude, causes, and consequences. But the really striking thing is how the use of this incoherent term skyrocketed after it first entered book publication in 2004. Just in 2007 alone its use increased 7 times! This term did not appear because of some real-world event. Instead, somebody made it up, then ensured that it stuck and spread. This suggests the existence of a centralized or semi-centralized body behind climate alarmism, making decisions on strategy and messaging and then passing these decisions down. Foot soldiers and even lieutenants do not need to know the process, and the marching orders might be conveyed in the form of recommendations. One small example is this Media Matters article, which provides instructions in the form of New Year’s resolutions. Media Matters is just one component of George Soros’ shadowy political empire. And Soros is not necessarily a member of the decision-making body, whatever he thinks himself.
There's more. Ari promotes lies about realclimate.org. No - it's not a creature of Fenton Communications. It was establshed and is run by some of the world's leading climate scientists. He's a fan of WUWT's most extreme (and extremely ugly) climate conspiracy writer, Tim Ball.
That's probably enough of that. If you want to see a good example of bad deductions from word searches, mixed with lots of climate conspiracies, you can read the archived WUWT article.
From the WUWT comments
There haven't been a lot of comments as I write this.
markl seems to think there has been some official degree in the USA:
February 17, 2016 at 8:16 pm
Good analysis of the “conspiracy theory” as claimed by MSM. The trend in climate realist growth really took off in the US when carbon dioxide was declared a pollutant. Only chutzpah and ignorance by the government led them to think they could make people believe such nonsense….by decree!
Nimrod buys into the climate conspiracy and writes:
February 17, 2016 at 9:09 pm
Now the task is: find the originators and show clearly who they are. It is the first couple of months that counts! This could be very revealing, especially if it’s the same source.
Mike Bromley the Kurd is upset that Albertans voted in more reasonable people in the last election:
February 17, 2016 at 9:19 pm
Well done, Ari. These talking points are all the average science-illiterate citizen alarmist have to use in their arsenal. Perhaps one could research “muzzled scientists” and “science deniers” amongst the dross, terms popular in Canada during 2015, and trotted out at every opportunity by the meme-infested left wingnuts who took over Alberta and Ottawa.
John Coleman is going to fight something or other until he dies. Surely he has better things to do:
February 17, 2016 at 9:45 pm
The skyrocketing rise in the use of the expression ‘carbon pollution’ in recent years is far and away the biggest issue to me. Carbon dioxide is not carbon, and it is not a pollutant. And the increase is tiny, less than 1 percent of the atmosphere. Yet it is being constantly publicized as a problem greater than ISIS, a problem that threatens to end our civilization. I will fight this till I die.
Even Willis Eschenbach, who's also a climate denying conspiracy theorist, but usually eschews the most extreme of WUWT's climate conspiracy nuttery, chimes in, but says it isn't necessarily a conspiracy, it's just the internet. This is the same internet that's allowed weird and wacky climate science deniers to find each other and pretend to each other they aren't utter nutters.
February 17, 2016 at 10:12 pm (excerpt)
...I would suggest that’s what happened with the term “climate denier”. It filled a niche so well for assigning guilt to your enemies that it went viral. I see the speed of acceptance as a measure of the weakness of the alarmists, that they were desperate to reverse their ongoing losses.
In any case, the existence of the phenomena we call “going viral” certainly proves that you don’t need any “centralized or semi-centralized body” of any kind for something to become hugely popular overnight.
Thanks for all your work, a good post.
References and further reading
Fourier, M. "Les températures du globe terrestre et des espaces planétaires." Mémoires de l’Académie Royale des Sciences de l’Institut de France 7 (1827). (pdf here)
Callendar, Guy Stewart. "The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 64, no. 275 (1938): 223-240. (pdf here)
Plass, Gilbert N. "The carbon dioxide theory of climatic change." Tellus 8, no. 2 (1956): 140-154. (pdf here)
Peterson, Thomas C., William M. Connolley, and John Fleck. "The myth of the 1970s global cooling scientific consensus." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 89, no. 9 (2008): 1325. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008BAMS2370.1 (open access)
From the HotWhopper archives
- Hottest January on record, with El Niño years comparison - February 2016
- Marginalised, alienated and put upon: climate science deniers are not innocent - August 2015
- The Google Conspiracy - and a Google search engine customised for science deniers - September 2015, with Ari Halperin
- More of David Siegel's climate lies and conspiracy theories - October 2015, including the Fenton Communications conspiracy theory
- Disgusting Deniers: Anthony Watts exploits the publicity he got from Tim Ball - how Anthony Watts exploits the publicity he gets from his conspiracy theory articles
- Anthony Watts takes "exception" and posts a doozy of a climate conspiracy theory at WUWT - Tim Ball's "leader of the world" conspiracy theory
- Flashback to 1884: A few hundredths of carbonic acid gas in the atmosphere...the surface...would become like a vast orchid house - from a Mount Gambier newspaper from 1884