There are two articles up at WUWT today that falsely claim "it's cooling", when in fact the Earth continues to heat up. One by Denier Don Easterbrook and one by David Deming.
Deluded Denier Don Easterbrook
Denier Don put up a few of his wonky charts (archived here), including this one that has appeared on HotWhopper before. Click to enlarge.
I don't know why he resurrected this old chart of his. It clearly shows that all his predictions have been a dismal failure. Observed temperatures are not that far from his "IPCC projected warming". And I don't know where he got his "IPCC projected warming" from either. Since he said he did the chart in 1999 or 2000, it should be from the Second Assessment Report (SAR). But I saw nothing like that chart in SAR.
Anyway, look at Don's projections. According to him global surface temperatures should have taken a big dive fourteen years ago. Instead, look at what has happened.
|Data sources: JISAO and NASA|
Like Don, I've compared global surface temperatures to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation from Nate Mantua's website. Don reckons temperatures should be back at those of around 1980 now and heading for colder.
Denier Don wrote:
So the question now becomes how could my predictions be validated? Certainly not by any computer climate models, which had proven to be essentially worthless. The obvious answer is to check my predictions against what the climate does over several decades. We’ve been within my predicted cooling cycle for more than a decade, so what has happened? We’ve now experienced 17 years with no global warming (in fact, slight cooling) despite the IPCC prediction that we should now be ~1° F warmer (Figs. 6, 7, 8). So far my 1999 prediction seems to be on track and should last for another 20-25 years.On track? Just who does Don think he's kidding? In 1999 he predicted that by 2014, global surface temperature would be back to around that in 1980. Instead they are about 0.5 degrees warmer than 1980!
So Don, your predictions have already proven to be worthless.
Dismal David Deming is a big fat liar!
David Deming wrote a short article complaining about winter weather in the USA and asking where global warming has gone (archived here). Remember he's a mate of Denier Don. David's article was stuffed with as much nonsense as Don's. For example, David Deming wrote:
Global warming is nowhere to be found. The mean global temperature has not risen in 17 years and has been slowly falling for approximately the past 10 years. In 2013, there were more record-low temperatures than record-high temperatures in the United States.Look again at the chart above. Where is his supposed cooling? Nowhere to be seen. Sure, the USA has been a bit cool the last few weeks. But no cooler than it was twenty years ago, going back only to the early 1990s. And in 2012 it had the hottest year ever on record. Other places are warming up too, obviously - looking at the surface temperature chart above. Here we I live we've been sweltering through another extreme heat wave with temperatures in the low 40s for almost a full week. And we've just had the hottest year on record plus broken a heap of other similar records all over the place. And it can't be blamed on ENSO - it's been neutral.
From the WUWT comments
From Denier Don's article (archived here):
Bob Tisdale tears strips off Denier Don over a few comments, for example he says (excerpt):
January 17, 2014 at 8:47 pm
There are no long-term global surface temperature reconstructions where the dip during the 1998-10 La Niña came close to reaching the values in the 1940s. Did you splice TLT data onto HADCRUT data? That’s what it looks like. Whatever it is, it’s bogus!
But many WUWT-ers are like Txomin who says:
January 17, 2014 at 6:18 pm
If this prediction holds, it will be difficult for the climadrama to keep the show on the road. I find it curious that something as erratic as climate will end up saving out arses from ourselves.Too much of a close call. Just imagine if, by chance, warming had continued to increase…
Jimbo comes out with his usual guff and says:
January 18, 2014 at 4:58 am
• The IPCC was established in 1988.
• The PDO was discovered in 1996.
• The Vostok ice cores (1998?) showed co2 rise followed temperature rise.
Would we have had this huge global warming scare if the IPCC had been established several years after the discovery of the PDO and the Vostok results? Are they really now so confident that co2 was responsible for most of the warming since mid 1970s? They may have doubts but will never openly come out and say it as it would ruin the game plan.
Here are a couple from David Deming's article (archived here)
Otter (ClimateOtter on Twitter) says:
January 18, 2014 at 2:31 amWell, he's right about them being ridiculed, that's for sure!
One of the sad things is, we will never get an apology from any of these people. They will move on to the next scare, the next ‘theory,’ and find some way to blame skeptics for the failure of AGW. Reality is ‘liberal’ in their minds, after all. It will always be about them being right and us being wrong. Oh, and we should be silenced. And demonized. And ridiculed. And….
PaulC wins the comment of the day:
January 18, 2014 at 2:25 am
Every 11,500 years this world we live on has an Ice Age. It has been nearly 12,000 years since the last Ice Age.
All the talk is about a mini ice age coming. The lack of comment on a full blown Ice Age is very conspicuous in its absence.
The latest Polar Vortex dropped temps in exactly the same areas that had a couple of km’s of ice over it 12,000 years ago.
Coincidence – I think not
JJM Gommers is completely nuts, but quite typical of other commenters in the thread with a substance-free quote complaining that all the world's scientists who study any part of the earth system, along with all the weather bureaux, scientific journal staff etc are "criminals":
January 18, 2014 at 4:45 am
Once the time is there they don’t get away with an apology. The least is in court at the Hague for crime against humanity. I become fed up with these criminals