Update 2: see below for Anthony's excuses.
Update:
see below for Anthony Watts' "report" of Professor Mann's Bristol lecture.
Some sciency questions
I added a note about
the new stadium wave paper at the end of my last article. I do have some question for readers. On page two of
the paper (subs req'd), when talking about their pattern searching, the authors write:
Following Tsonis et al. [2007], Wyatt et al. [2012] considered a network of climate indices associated, geographically and dynamically, with different climatic subsystems, and used an objective filtering method to isolate secular multidecadal variability within this network during the 20th century. On top of a uniform linear trend, they identified an oscillatory-looking wiggle with a common multidecadal time scale, but with different phases across the different indices of the climate network, thus manifesting a signal that propagates in the space of climate indices. The authors termed this propagating signal the “stadium wave,” reflecting a speculation that it dynamically originates in the North Atlantic and spreads over the remainder of the Northern Hemisphere via a hypothesized sequence of delayed dynamical feedbacks. However, search for the stadium wave in a suite of simulations by multiple global climate models only returned stationary, in-phase signals [Wyatt and Peters, 2012], in sharp contrast with the observational analysis of Wyatt et al. [2012].
There were a few questions that popped into my mind when I read that. Perhaps a reader can help out and explain the scientific jargon:
- What is a network of climate indices?
- What is the difference between an objective filtering method and a non-objective filtering method?
- What does an oscillatory-looking wiggle look like?
- What does a non-oscillatory-looking wiggle look like?
- What makes an oscillatory-looking wiggle distinguishable from an oscillatory-looking waddle?
- How much space is required for climate indices?
- How do you tell the difference between a dynamic origination and a non-dynamic origination?
- What is the difference between a dynamical feedback and a regular feedback?
Thanks in advance, all you science aficionados.
A note on etiquette
On a separate topic, I notice that Anthony Watts is feeling a bit put upon that people have noticed that he doesn't have what it takes when it comes to the crunch. (That's non-science jargon for, well, you can guess.)
Anthony, full of bravado and egged on by his adoring hangers-on, jumped on a plane paid for by those same adoring hangers-on, full of promise to put those supposed miscreant scientists on the spot and ask them
some hard-hitting questions.
When Anthony arrived, he found himself confronted, in person, face to face, by the three people in the entire world who, out of all the scientists he rubbishes, he has probably spent more time viciously attacking and telling lies about than any others. (See
here and
here and
here and particularly
here for the background.)
Anthony went to water.
Cowed by the reality that there he was, in a university of all places, a place that doesn't just like knowledge it actually creates knowledge. The very antithesis of Anthony Watts' world. Not only that but he was in a foreign country, surrounded by people who not only spoke a different language, they knew a lot more about climate science than he ever could hope to know. And to top it off he discovered the lectures were being recorded on video. Anthony probably had visions of
Paul Nurse and James Delingpole. Cowed, he shrank into his chair and could barely wait until the ordeals ended.
Tail between his legs, he slunk back to his Californian basement, turned on his computer terminal and mumbled: "I only went to watch." Which didn't faze his hard-core supporters, who assured him "You're the man!"
Well, that was too much. Being mocked even by his hard-core supporters. With a monitor shielding him from his nemeses, his cyber-self finally donned the bravado he is known for, he strode over to Facebook and bravely wrote: "May I ask a question?"
He was feeling up again. No longer worried that he might have to look someone in the eye.
Buoyed by his courage at being able to venture into the lion's cyberden, he boldly
took a snapshot. Next visited Twitter and
boasted to all and sundry that his bravado had returned, now that he didn't have to face anyone in person. Now that he could hide behind his monitor, getting lots of
retweets and replies of support from supposed friends and allies. ("That means I must be right"
thinks Anthony.)
Now Anthony wasn't invited into the personal log of this scientist. He barged in uninvited. Needless to say he was swiftly and politely shown the door. And
just so you know:
If you have a habit of making false, inflammatory, and/or defamatory statements about climate scientists in public then, no, you're not welcome at this facebook page. There are other outlets for you in that case. Thanks!
(Just so you know - it's the same here at HotWhopper.)
Anthony is satisfied. He breathes a sigh of relief. Order has been restored and he didn't even have to think up a dumb question. Saved by etiquette. He is once more king of denialism. He has shown his fans that scientists refuse to debate fake sceptics. He is the Man. (Oops!)
The few climate bloggers who noticed the exchange might have thought of Anthony and his charade: "What a bunch of mindless yobbos".
The rest of the world thinks - umm, nothing. If asked they'd say "Who? Who is Anthony Watts? Oh, you mean the
rugby player/bikie/boxer? Not his style."
Update
Anthony Watts has finally written his "report" of Dr Mann's presentation. Showing two things. First: Anthony Watts is incapable of writing a report. Secondly, his fans wouldn't know a report if they tripped over one and are easily pleased. His "report" is nothing more than a collection of photos of Dr Mann's presentation, with very short comment/description underneath.
With no hint that he understands the meaning of intellectual property, under one of his photos he wrote: "
I wonder if he got permission from Accu-Weather to use that graphic?" One may ask, "
I wonder if Anthony Watts got permission to post all Dr Mann's slides". (In response to a question about this, Anthony claimed it is "fair use". I'd question that. One or two slides maybe, to illustrate a point. But not all of them with barely a word of analysis. I've not linked to the WUWT page or an archived version for obvious reasons.)
And again, with no hint of duplicity he claims, about a photo of Dr Mann's own child: "
I don’t think children should be used as props.". This the day after Anthony himself
stole a photo of a mother and child to persuade his readers to sign up to a fake religion's repulsive "declaration"! (h/t CM)
Update 2: The gutless wonder - excuses, excuses
Anthony Watts admits he's a
gutless wonder (
archived here, latest
update here). In the process
describes his paranoid conspiracy ideation, among other things.
First he tries to foist the blame on Michael Mann claiming he has a "
record of hostility". WTF! It's Anthony Watts who hasn't let up on defaming Dr Mann and telling lies about him and his work. (Didn't he realise when he made the booking that Michael Mann would be there, to answer his "
many questions"?)
Next he
blames Professor Lewandowsky. [Edit: Just for being there, mind you. Not for anything he did or didn't do there.] Yeah, it's all his fault - not! Remember Anthony's fake bravado when he boasted he was "
Headed into ‘Lew-world’" and begged for money? What happened?
Anthony's still behaving exactly as I
described above. Words like worthless, slimeball and cowardly come to mind.
He
confesses he
wasted his readers' money and
got it under false pretences, but no-one's asked for a refund, yet.
Anthony was
too chicken to admit that his "
big brave question" to Michael Mann on Facebook was nothing more than:
"...will you take my question now?"
.h/t
Raoul :)
From the WUWT comments
Anthony's sycophants supported him, boosting his fragile ego, muttering stuff like of course you did the wise thing, oh wise one and I see now you did the right thing. There was one person who had sufficient independence of mind to buck the trend. Velcro wrote:
September 28, 2014 at 10:54 am
The venue was the venue. Nothing Mann could do about the separation between podium and audience. Seems to me that the sceptic community criticise the warmists for not being prepared to debate, yet on this occasion, when there was the opportunity to question, we sceptics passed up the chance. I would have been inclined to ask something like ‘ do you attach any significance to the fact that if one plots annual global temperature against year for the past 18 odd years, one gets a horizontal line? And if you don’t then why not?
This is for Velcro. And
this, too. And don't forget
this from Gavin Schmidt.
Finally, one slipped by the mods - for everybody, from
tz
September 28, 2014 at 1:47 pm
The Mann-o-sphere v.s. Kochtopussy.
Anthony Watts can't help himself. Was he born a liar?
And finally finally, for anyone who has fallen for
Anthony's fairytale that he "booted me off WUWT for being overly disruptive". He didn't. He
banned me over a fairly mild tweet. This "
clueless female eco-nut" who is
"isolated, lonely" and petless or is she a "
crazy, nasty,spiteful witch" posted only about
30 comments in four years at WUWT, none of which could be described as "overly disruptive" by any stretch of the imagination. Some of my mild comments annoyed Anthony and Smokey/DB Stealey, for some reason. Too sciency I expect. (I'm wondering if Anthony thinks any blogger who
ridicules others, be they
anti-science or
pro-science, must be isolated, lonely and petless.)
[Update to an update: No-one at WUWT commented on
what I write but there are lots of theories as to
why I write. The latest theory is that I have a
all the hallmarks of being a child abuse victim. (Deniers apparently cannot fathom
why people would poke fun at their anti-science efforts and pseudo-science and replace it with science. First time I've heard "alarmism" blamed on child abuse though. Is this intended as a milder form of Steyn-abuse?)
Sou 29 September 2014]
Nor was I ever
kicked off any discussion board for being overly disruptive. (When Anthony wrote in the plural, he was using what passes for blog licence on disinformation blogs. There is no plural. There is only one other instance that he is referring to.) However it wasn't for disruption. I was scarcely ever even modded on that share trading website (a site where deleting comments is the norm, not the exception). They just decided they didn't want a woman in their
'men only' club, after she once commented on the misogyny prevalent there -
still, going by the comments here. Much like the way Anthony Watts soon bans almost everyone who prefers climate science to pseudoscience.