I followed one of the items that "caught the eye" of Judith Curry at the weekend. It was an article by denier statistician to the stars, William M. Briggs. Yes, he's the bloke who coauthored a dumb article with Christopher Monckton of all people. That in itself tells you more than you need to know about him.
Anyway, William M. Briggs might shine brightly for some stars but he's no futurist. William wrote an article (archived here) under the headline:
There Is No Difference Between A Forecast, A Scenario, or A Projection
He's wrong of course. And not just in having a superfluous comma. Even I make that mistake, from time, to time :)
I thought I'd take a peek at what he wrote underneath his headline to see just how wrong he would get. This is what I found:
This is a tad incoherent...Well, his first clause was correct but that's about all he got right.