Remember how Bob Tisdale thought that Mark Boslough's bet was foolish? Well he finally twigged what the bet was about, and was even more aghast that anyone would be expected to bet. He realised just how laughable it would be to bet that the world would cool, which is an unusual attitude for a hard-core science denier like Bob Tisdale. His chart showed just how much it's been warming, which is a most unusual thing for anyone at WUWT to do.
|Bob Tisdale knows it's been getting mighty hot. Source: WUWT|
Perhaps in part because Bob showed just how hot it's been getting, some of the WUWT deniers seem to accept it. They aren't giving up though. The new denier chant of "it hasn't warmed since 2017" has already begun at WUWT, two years early. The following comments were seen under another article by Bob Tisdale (in which he shoved the latest global temperatures down to the level of those in 1997/98 to compare ENSO events):
richard verney January 4, 2016 at 5:37 pm
...If there is no long lasting step change in temperatures coincident with the current strong El Nino what is likely to happen is that over the next 4 months, there will be a short lived spike, and then the following La Nina in late 2016/early 2017 will bring temperatures down again, and following that La Nina temperatures may well stabilize around the 2001 to 2003 level going forward into 2018/19.
Joel O'Bryan January 4, 2016 at 7:31 pm
...The 2016-17 La Nina (a reasonable assumption) will occur during the wind down of SC24 to its minimum in late-2018 or 2019. The step change may be down, not up with La Nina 2017.
At least Joel isn't buying Bob Tisdale's "global warming is caused by El Nino's" crap.
ENSO has of course been running for many millennia. If there were only step-up temp shifts, the oceans would be boiling by now. Climate system feedbacks and the random interplay between solar cycle mins/maxes and coupled ocean-atmosphere climate cycles ultimately ensures reversion to mean and a stable temperature.
Allan MacRae January 5, 2016 at 4:56 am
...I think we will see a downward (cooling) trend, starting as early as 2H2017.
...Care to estimate when global cooling will be apparent in the satellite Lower Troposphere (LT) temperature data?
My best guess based on conversations with my knowledgeable friends, is some time in 2017.
That will, of course, require some time thereafter to confirm it is not just a downward blip – but I am guessing that 2017 will be the inflection year that clearly exhibits, in the satellite LT data, the start of a multi-decadal global cooling cycle.
Here's a mock-up of Richard Verney's prediction for the record, in case anyone wants to check back in 2018.