This January has seemed to me to be relatively cool, almost "normal" where I live in south-eastern Australia. That is, normal compared to the past few years.
I've been looking to find articles on denier blogs claiming the Bureau of Meteorology has been fudging the temperatures downwards. But not a peep or a squeak, let alone a squawk of the type during our record hot summers. On the contrary, some deniers are now taking the BoM reports as gospel and claiming that it means that an ice age cometh.
Jo Nova (who I've been told complains I don't write about her nonsense enough) hasn't written anything. Jennifer Marohasy, who likes to keep a close (closed?) eye on Australian temperatures has been quiet. (Actually, I had to check both because they are not regular haunts of mine. I discovered that Jennifer's been away since last October.)
I first commented on this a few days ago saying that at the Australian Open they were wearing jumpers this year, unlike last year when people were collapsing on the court from the heat. It felt more like last century than this one. Anecdotal isn't all that reliable so I went to the repository of Australian temperatures to see what's been happening.
Here is the chart from Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) for monthly means for all Australia for the month of January. See the bar on the far right? That's January 2015.
Although it felt relatively mild where I live in Victoria (in south eastern Australia), over the state as a whole it's been well above average. Not as high as during our record hot summers, but quite a bit above the 1961-1990 mean. It shows how we get acclimatised. I was comparing this month to the temperatures of the past few years.
Remember that's compared to the 1961 to 1990 mean, which is higher than the mean of the twentieth century. Normal is getting warmer.
The part of Australia that dragged the average down was the Northern Territory:
Here's an animation of maps showing the mean anomaly for January this year, compared to 2014 and 2013:
These charts are of the entire month of January and are of the mean anomaly, not the max or minimum temperature. This next one shows the differences more starkly. It's the maximum decile for the month of January for this year, 2014 and the Angry Summer of 2013:
You can play around with the time series charts for Australia here. And the maps showing temperature can be explored here.
Am I being impatient expecting Jennifer or Jo to write about how BoM has fudged the temperature? Will they soon be writing how the central north of the country was "adjusted" just to make it look as if it's been cooler this summer?