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Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts

Friday, July 17, 2015

Out in time. Anthony Watts thinks it's 2050!

Sou | 7:30 PM Go to the first of 29 comments. Add a comment
I don't know what's got into Anthony Watts. Yesterday he thought it was June instead of July, and wrote about an upcoming release of May data from NOAA, when that report had already been released a month ago.

Today Anthony seems to think that 2050 is behind us (archived here). That it's been and gone. That we're already past the middle of this century. He wrote about a "failed prediction" from Joe Romm of Climate Progress, quoting him as writing (my emphasis):
In 2007, Science (subs. req’d) published research that “predicted a permanent drought by 2050 throughout the Southwest” — levels of aridity comparable to the 1930s Dust Bowl would stretch from Kansas to California.  Last year, a comprehensive literature review, “Drought under global warming: a review,” by NCAR found that we risk multiple, devastating global droughts worse than the Dust Bowl even on moderate emissions path.  Another study found the U.S. southwest could see a 60-year drought this century.

Friday, January 2, 2015

Predictions for 2015

Sou | 9:02 AM Go to the first of 27 comments. Add a comment

At the turn of the year some people make New Year's resolutions, others look back on the year just gone, while others (or the same people) make predictions for the year ahead. I was reminded of this when I read an article on the ABC, about how many predictions are wrong. It didn't discuss the ones that were right.

So here are some predictions in black and white, so you can look back at the end of this year and see what a bad predictor I am :)

This year, there will be:

  • At least one article at WUWT predicting an "ice age cometh"
  • No articles at WUWT looking at all the failed predictions of deniers
  • Nary a peep about Force X and the Notch at Jo Nova's (unless it's from a reader) As William Connolley reports - already failed!
  • Several articles and many more comments on denier blogs about how the poor need coal to better themselves
  • At least one more person banned from HotWhopper, who will end up sending a stream of increasingly incoherent and abusive one-liners (that you probably won't get to read, so that one will be hard to prove one way or another)
  • At least one article written by Anthony Watts himself, of equal or greater absurdity to Russian Steampipes and Airport UHI Disease
  • At least one new scientific paper that will generate more than ten protest articles at WUWT
  • At least one article by David Rose of the Daily Mail, misrepresenting Arctic sea ice
  • Several articles by Judith Curry in which she urges no action to mitigate global warming, illogically - because of "uncertainty"
  • No articles at Judith Curry's blog pronouncing the death of the stadium wave
  • Several articles from Bob Tisdale at WUWT claiming it's not CO2, it's only warming because it's getting hotter
  • A build up of protest at denier blogs as COP21 in Paris draws near.

Feel free to add your own predictions. If I remember (or if I'm reminded) we can look at them at the end of the year.