tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post7138047092225020361..comments2024-02-12T15:25:44.028+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Record-breaking hot years almost impossible without humans - and Anthony Watts' conspiracy theorySouhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-80372456924567468702016-03-10T10:52:52.083+11:002016-03-10T10:52:52.083+11:00@what I was kidding. It was an attempt at a lame j...@what I was kidding. It was an attempt at a lame joke at the expense of deniers who always come up with things that real scientists do try to account for and the deniers in their ignorance think they have had an original thought.<br /><br />A house painter I used to have a beer with told me he always left a bit unpainted so the owners had something to point at. "You missed a bit!" This bit was very easy to fix. Much easier than many square yards of very slight orange peel. BertBert from Elthamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-13593782352785174512016-03-10T05:34:06.132+11:002016-03-10T05:34:06.132+11:00"Will this shadow cool the Earth? Just asking...<i>"Will this shadow cool the Earth? Just asking!<br /><br />Bert"</i><br /><br />Can't tell if you are kidding, but yes, scientists do use eclipse events to estimate climate forcing responses. The amount of sunlight eclipsed is a known quantity so they can try to characterize what is called the impulse response function. A negative impulse in this case.<br />@whuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18297101284358849575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-60417718746876206572016-03-10T05:23:02.037+11:002016-03-10T05:23:02.037+11:00that Antarctic story had star billing in the recen...that Antarctic story had star billing in the recent video Potholer54 did regarding "why Temperatures never go up in straight lines"<br /><br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUk0tm47yr8&list=PL82yk73N8eoX-Xobr_TfHsWPfAIyI7VAP&index=32Tadaaahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07736188830660481871noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-19313633548097632452016-03-10T05:19:06.923+11:002016-03-10T05:19:06.923+11:00I made this movie of yesterdays eclipse shadow usi...I made this movie of yesterdays eclipse shadow using the BOM satellite. 3MB<br /><br />http://d1355990.i49.quadrahosting.com.au/2016_01/E100.gif<br /><br />Will this shadow cool the Earth? Just asking!<br /><br />BertBert from Elthamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-43735874586927376702016-03-10T01:56:19.170+11:002016-03-10T01:56:19.170+11:00"That's a suspiciously useless metric. Wh..."That's a suspiciously useless metric. Why 100 degF as the threshold?"<br /><br />I've noticed that Steve Goddard often does the same thing. But I can't believe Christy would be stealing ideas from Goddard.Bellmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04872924578152375407noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-21422541132819970602016-03-10T01:21:48.242+11:002016-03-10T01:21:48.242+11:00As Sou points out, deniers like to bring up the sh...As Sou points out, deniers like to bring up the ship that got caught in the Antarctic ice. I wonder if they will ever mention the 80,000 lb tanker that broke through an ice road in Canada:<br /><br />http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2016/03/giant-metaphor-crashes-through-the-ice.html<br />FLwolverinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15714397414422766313noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-75108004174663627572016-03-10T01:02:31.403+11:002016-03-10T01:02:31.403+11:00Christy has a long track record of irrelevant, unc...Christy has a long track record of irrelevant, uncorrected, or simply misplotted graphs from which he argues that climate change isn't happening. Graphing 100F as an arbitrary threshold, rather than the changes in temperature anomaly, if just more of the same.KRnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-6789535241873664072016-03-09T23:25:40.833+11:002016-03-09T23:25:40.833+11:00I thought one of the central fingerprints of AGW w...I thought one of the central fingerprints of AGW was that winter temps are increasing faster than summer temps and nigh time temps are increasing faster than daytime temps<br /><br />and that "record" low temperature are gradually getting warmer<br /><br />and that is exactly what the data shows<br /><br />so the Christy chart maybe "interesting" but nothing moreTadaaahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07736188830660481871noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-91955294403463642862016-03-09T22:31:25.831+11:002016-03-09T22:31:25.831+11:00'Then he put up a chart from John Christy, sho...'Then he put up a chart from John Christy, showing the "average number of days with a temperature 100F or more divided by the number of stations"'<br /><br />That's a suspiciously useless metric. Why 100 degF as the threshold? Different places have different climatologies. If the number of stations happens to increase more in colder areas, the average number of 100+ degF days will decrease, even if the entire country is warming.MartinMhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12378483250151121375noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-25531694126493104112016-03-09T21:20:22.716+11:002016-03-09T21:20:22.716+11:00"a chart from John Christy ... stations"..."a chart from John Christy ... stations"<br /><br />So, at WUWT, acceptance of this data depends on who is using it.Millicentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-41471499554927845202016-03-09T18:00:38.332+11:002016-03-09T18:00:38.332+11:00Just the sort of thing "an emotionally based ...Just the sort of thing "an emotionally based lifeform" would do!!!<br /><br />:-)jgnfldnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-82156114474252584712016-03-09T17:31:04.045+11:002016-03-09T17:31:04.045+11:00Heh, the Spanish Inquisition will be knocking on y...Heh, the Spanish Inquisition will be knocking on your door Sou - to offer you a job!<br /><br />;-)Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-50165787341301516492016-03-09T17:11:24.312+11:002016-03-09T17:11:24.312+11:00I should have been clearer. Figure 2 is from NOAA ...I should have been clearer. Figure 2 is from NOAA data which I plotted as decadal averages. John Christy's chart at WUWT was a different one. It was showing something about weather stations that showed 100F or more temperatures.<br /><br />I incorrectly wrote how it was from the C20 average. I thought it looked odd and should have done the sums, but forgot. It doesn't say on the website what the baseline is, but a quick check shows the anomaly is from the 1981-2010 average. I've fixed the chart label to show that.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-24069038572447568902016-03-09T16:57:31.531+11:002016-03-09T16:57:31.531+11:00The Christy graph in figure 2 above is amusing in ...The Christy graph in figure 2 above is amusing in its own torturing of the data... It claims to be centred on a 0 value, and yet the residuals arounds that purported zero are heavily weighted in the negative.<br /><br />What's up with that?Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-44835346257547681412016-03-09T16:52:29.217+11:002016-03-09T16:52:29.217+11:00"Record-breaking years... that may be attribu..."<i>Record-breaking years... that may be attributed to anthropogenic climate change are marked with black crosses</i>"<br /><br />I would argue that there are <i><b>more</b></i> years that may be "attributed" to anthropogenic climate change than just the "record-breaking" ones marked with black crosses in figure 1, but because they occur subsequent to a "record-breaking" year they are ignored under the definition.<br /><br />It would be interesting to see the figure redrawn with <i>all</i> anthropogenically-influenced years included. Guess what <i>that</i> line would look like...?<br /><br />Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.com