tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post487389349738440532..comments2024-02-12T15:25:44.028+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Battening down in Far North Queensland for Tropical Cyclone ItaSouhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-34885208616948600062014-04-13T17:27:22.596+10:002014-04-13T17:27:22.596+10:00There's an archive of BoM ENSO reports going b...There's an archive of BoM ENSO reports going back to 2005:<br /><br />http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/search/enso-wrap-up.shtml?bookmark=no-rm<br /><br />BoM has a list of El Nino years here:<br /><br />http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/enlist/<br /><br />NOAA has archived reports going back to 2001:<br /><br />http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/ENSO_DD_archive.shtml<br /><br />Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-31169948605786284592014-04-13T16:01:30.933+10:002014-04-13T16:01:30.933+10:00How does the forecast El Nino compare with previou...How does the forecast El Nino compare with previous events?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-53071829666119453142014-04-11T16:09:18.525+10:002014-04-11T16:09:18.525+10:00Are you in FNQ John, or further south?Are you in FNQ John, or further south?Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-18197495088824037492014-04-11T15:29:35.364+10:002014-04-11T15:29:35.364+10:00around 9000 in the area and seas even huge in cair...around 9000 in the area and seas even huge in cairns, hope it does not follow oswalds track john byattnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-46331859911759496952014-04-11T14:57:49.279+10:002014-04-11T14:57:49.279+10:00I find it interesting how the ensemble of El Nino ...I find it interesting how the ensemble of El Nino forecasts looks remarkable like CMIP 3 and 5 ensemble forecasts in shape. There's probably an educational point here about modeling and the use of ensembles.Dave123http://www.skepticalscience.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-56362644695967846842014-04-11T13:14:43.029+10:002014-04-11T13:14:43.029+10:00I've also updated the BoM tracking chart as an...I've also updated the BoM tracking chart as an animation. It suggests there'll be more rather than less damage in populated areas.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-30768262347279872014-04-11T13:05:08.214+10:002014-04-11T13:05:08.214+10:00That is very bad new, John. There will be a lot o...That is very bad new, John. There will be a lot of damage. Cooktown is an old settlement with a long and important history, and has a lot of older buildings.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-14763763558437413512014-04-11T13:01:00.608+10:002014-04-11T13:01:00.608+10:00really bad Sou, will be near direct hit on Cooktow...really bad Sou, will be near direct hit on Cooktown in latest update john byattnoreply@blogger.com