tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post3179178045002891643..comments2024-03-25T05:30:23.847+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Another cool prediction from the Force X duo from downunder: David Evans and Jo NovaSouhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger25125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-69833034158558657172016-02-15T16:54:27.443+11:002016-02-15T16:54:27.443+11:00To reiterate a Fourier analysis by fools does not ...To reiterate a Fourier analysis by fools does not see the linear or exponential rise in the data they purport to analyse. <br /><br />They blindly predict a cooling!<br /><br />Bert<br /><br /> Bert from Elthamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-39231682794559852442016-02-15T15:20:46.053+11:002016-02-15T15:20:46.053+11:00Thanks for the explanation Bert.Thanks for the explanation Bert.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-18010947682010304452016-02-15T15:19:16.362+11:002016-02-15T15:19:16.362+11:00Mark Steyn is an enemy of free speech, not an exam...Mark Steyn is an enemy of free speech, not an example of it. His history of defamation is a threat to free speech, not an example of it. <br /><br />He is also an enemy of humanity, with his anti-climate mitigation stance.<br /><br />Shame on qanda for having him on the panel.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-70603870023567675022016-02-15T15:06:05.657+11:002016-02-15T15:06:05.657+11:00It is also quite convenient that Fourier analysis ...It is also quite convenient that Fourier analysis of this temperature graph will not show any linear or exponential continuous rise in the 'function' unless you assign coefficients to periodicities far longer than the curve in question.<br />Twits who think treating the Earth Sun system as a black box and see what pops up with some rudimentary method not fit for use are wasting their time. <br /><br />We used three dimensional Fourier Analysis of our x-ray data to calculate the electron density of proteins with hundreds of thousands of atoms. <br /><br />The electron density is simply a reverse Fourier Transform of the data knowing both the magnitude and phase of every measurement. Measuring the phases is the tricky bit.<br /><br /><br />By the way Cowtan is a crystallographer and he is used to dealing with tricky noisy huge data sets.<br /><br />Bert<br />Bert from Elthamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-34777840785616576032016-02-15T14:42:58.589+11:002016-02-15T14:42:58.589+11:00Fourier Analysis of any piecewise continuous wave ...Fourier Analysis of any piecewise continuous wave function that does not repeat, can only hint at any regular sinusoidal mechanisms that give rise to this more complex waveform. <br /><br />Unless the coefficients are fully understood and their periodicities match real physical drivers such as the Sun's eleven year cycle and the various ocean heat transfer cycles that perturb any measurable quantity. This just cannot work as none of these are regular. The inherent noise in the system is larger than any one so called Fourier coefficient. Any smoothing will inject a periodicity into what is random noise. <br /><br />Anyone who thinks that using circuit analysis is valid for a very large system such as Earth's Climate that is chaotic in the short to medium term is deluding themselves. <br /><br />To build an analogue circuit of the Earth's climate would take literally millions of components.<br /><br />To then postulate a mechanism that is totally unknown for a very dodgy periodicity and phase derived from a very simple model of a temperature graph is simply self delusion at best.<br /><br />All Fourier Coefficients have two values a magnitude and phase (angle). It seems this magical unknown farceX has a phase of eleven years. <br /><br />Bert<br />Bert from Elthamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-18123901861570970812016-02-15T11:21:42.017+11:002016-02-15T11:21:42.017+11:00Or at least ask Mark Steyn how the Michael Mann de...Or at least ask Mark Steyn how the Michael Mann defamation suit is going. Spoiler alert: I am sure if he is asked, he will twist it into a rant about Free Speech.<br /><br />Mark Steyn is known to be somewhat opinionated about Islam, the ABC better keep him on a transmission delay :-)Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11552461190113661645noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-80155914194432931042016-02-15T11:07:05.766+11:002016-02-15T11:07:05.766+11:00Speaking of mendacious deniers, people might like ...Speaking of mendacious deniers, people might like to consider submitting a question for QandA to put to Mark Steyne on <a href="http://archive.is/eqnMi" rel="nofollow">tonight's episode</a>.<br /><br />Larry Marshall must be relishing the timing of Steyne's appearance - assuming that the CSIRO climatology gutting is put to him at some point in the program.Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-82072382555355794892016-02-15T11:00:30.962+11:002016-02-15T11:00:30.962+11:00Codling and Evans are absolutely classic purveyors...Codling and Evans are absolutely classic purveyors of woo of the worst sort.<br /><br />It says a lot about the gullibility of humans that C&E get such an easy run of it in their peddling of their snake oil.Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-42892958208358925782016-02-15T10:28:31.805+11:002016-02-15T10:28:31.805+11:00Someone who purposefully introduces an ~11-year sm...Someone who purposefully introduces an ~11-year smoothing into a data set ought to be shot in the head, if they also don't downsample (decimate) the resulting time series below the filter halfpoint (in this case ~11 years).<br /><br />It's called introducing false autocorrelation (over and above what's already there in the raw data).<br /><br />One should also be shot in the head if they divide time series with a TSI time series (with a known spectral peak ~11 years) and starts seeing low amplitude 'notches' at, yes, you guessed it, ~11 years.<br /><br />Next up for DE and JN?<br /><br />The daily and annual ND theories which do not take into account the Earth's orbit or rotation.<br /><br />BTW, the whole MFT/OFT looks suspiciously like LINEAR harmonic analysis.<br /><br />A 'purported' quote from DE: We know it's the Sun woot done it, because we don't see the ~!!-year TSI cycle in the various surface temperature proxies.<br /><br />Farce ND = ZERO (just make sure you put it in the denominator)<br /><br /><br />Everett F Sargenthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00201577558036010680noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-5317224195196217752016-02-15T08:19:46.518+11:002016-02-15T08:19:46.518+11:00Either some undetectable energetic rays with a del...Either some undetectable energetic rays with a delayed heating effect are produced by the sun, or the increase of atmospheric CO2 traps more of the infrared radiation re-emitted to space, thus trapping heat.<br /><br />One of those is testable._Arthurhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00784501862357079857noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-12666092719711592462016-02-15T08:11:34.432+11:002016-02-15T08:11:34.432+11:00Deniers do not understand how the climate works, b...Deniers do not understand how the climate works, but they do understand that they do have to be able to point to an alternate 'theory of climate' in order to dismiss what they do not understand.<br /><br />Hence Farce X...because a void needs a filling.Nickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09537772941984056434noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-65307903815914963712016-02-15T07:41:33.097+11:002016-02-15T07:41:33.097+11:00Maybe Force X is something like the french scienti...Maybe Force X is something like <a href="http://skepdic.com/blondlot.html" rel="nofollow">the french scientist Blondlot's N-rays</a>.Lars Karlssonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06158469980966810882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-63463237455643888072016-02-15T06:50:48.029+11:002016-02-15T06:50:48.029+11:00I came across that post / thread a couple of days ...I came across that post / thread a couple of days ago<br /><br />It is some of the most convincing pseudo science I have read in a while <br /><br />Bold claims built on sand and wishful thinking - great stuff Tadaaahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07736188830660481871noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-54732712058552137962016-02-15T06:09:13.287+11:002016-02-15T06:09:13.287+11:00Hey, we're not changing parameters!! We're...Hey, we're not changing parameters!! We're adjusting theory to fit the data. And we're gonna keep doing that until it fits.KAPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11189506171267750391noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-41376471100821737992016-02-15T06:08:24.313+11:002016-02-15T06:08:24.313+11:00Hey, we're not changing parameters!! We're...Hey, we're not changing parameters!! We're adjusting theory to fit the data. And we're gonna keep doing that until it fits.KAPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11189506171267750391noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-35183590818041594362016-02-15T05:51:10.436+11:002016-02-15T05:51:10.436+11:00Ignoring the fact that the hypothesis is nonsense,...Ignoring the fact that the hypothesis is nonsense, the other thing wrong with it is it too complicated. The principle of Occam's Razor is you go with the simplest explanation that fits the facts.<br /><br />I assume the reason these alternate theories are presented is to help deniers along with their confirmation bias? It seems it does not matter if the alternate theories are plainly wrong, the important thing is they just exist.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11552461190113661645noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-78369012744976006282016-02-15T05:42:25.688+11:002016-02-15T05:42:25.688+11:00It's an old ploy, the con men claiming others ...It's an old ploy, the con men claiming others are the con men.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11552461190113661645noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-22253986252348517702016-02-15T05:42:02.026+11:002016-02-15T05:42:02.026+11:00One of the magical qualities of Farce X is the way...One of the magical qualities of Farce X is the way its parameters can be changed so effortlessly every time its 'predictions' fail. And, with every parameter change, a fossil fuel industry acceptable forecast is still obtained.Millicentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-84072247773757357252016-02-15T05:18:43.593+11:002016-02-15T05:18:43.593+11:00This comment has been removed by the author.jrkrideauhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04869979887929067657noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-79238972693037041682016-02-15T05:17:16.990+11:002016-02-15T05:17:16.990+11:00I am sure we will soon be hearing that Force X is ...I am sure we will soon be hearing that <b>Force X</b> is actually gravity waves from pulsars. I am currently preparing a paper to show that gravity waves cause El Niño and autism. Clearly the gravity waves affect the Sun because it is a lot bigger than the Earth and catches more of them. I only mention this here to establish priority. I am hoping to beat David Evan and Deepak Chopra into print. <br /><br />I believe Jo Nova's mention of the “carbon religion” refers to the stout defence of coal-burning electrical generating plants by the Australian and the US supreme court but I may be mistaken.jrkrideauhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04869979887929067657noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-9085897404179294002016-02-15T05:15:18.879+11:002016-02-15T05:15:18.879+11:00As a Canadian, I cannot express my joy that Ted Cr...As a Canadian, I cannot express my joy that Ted Cruz has renounced his Canadian citizenship.jrkrideauhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04869979887929067657noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-81058907767870773132016-02-15T02:08:10.422+11:002016-02-15T02:08:10.422+11:00> doesn't have anything new to add
That wa...> doesn't have anything new to add<br /><br />That was my impression too. Other that yet more implausible claims about expertise that are clearly designed to appeal to her audience. However, I doubt anyone on her side noticed.William M. Connolleyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05836299130680534926noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-85308069766386440122016-02-15T01:48:58.405+11:002016-02-15T01:48:58.405+11:00Quite. This is my first sighting of "No warmi...Quite. This is my first sighting of "No warming since 2016".Cugelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-45544392344004842762016-02-15T01:36:59.147+11:002016-02-15T01:36:59.147+11:00No doubt they will plan on declaring victory if a ...No doubt they will plan on declaring victory if a la Nina develops and the subsequent cooling sets in, thinking it's their magical force.<br /><br />CabcAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-13371090982378058702016-02-15T00:07:12.522+11:002016-02-15T00:07:12.522+11:00Not again. It makes me feel a little ill to read J...Not again. It makes me feel a little ill to read Jo Nova's blog and her smug blatant lies and misrepresentation of science. She is continually calling scientists dishonest but she is the one who is dishonestly and deliberately misrepresenting science. <br /><br />As an Australian, I find her a disgrace to Australia.Ceisthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12831378692022001009noreply@blogger.com