tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post1812205284033318364..comments2024-03-25T05:30:23.847+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Willis Eschenbach wonders about ENSO events and rainSouhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-25588343252019842672016-06-13T22:44:59.291+10:002016-06-13T22:44:59.291+10:00ENSO model based on Laplace's original wave eq...ENSO model based on Laplace's original wave equation formulation (1776) solved for the equatorial latitudes. <br /><br /><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20160613123314/http://contextearth.com/2016/06/10/pukites-model-of-enso/" rel="nofollow">https://web.archive.org/web/20160613123314/http://contextearth.com/2016/06/10/pukites-model-of-enso/</a><br /><br />No GCMs involved because it's first-order physics!<br /><br />I don't think Willis would understand this math because his head is in the clouds.<br />@whuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18297101284358849575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-84103012677581837082016-06-13T03:11:40.006+10:002016-06-13T03:11:40.006+10:00Sou, a bit OT, but you continue to amaze with the ...Sou, a bit OT, but you continue to amaze with the thoroughness and clarity of your analysis and your writing. Thank you for your dedication.D.C.Pettersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05078422582348328238noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-43586514397824503192016-06-13T03:09:57.271+10:002016-06-13T03:09:57.271+10:00You are correct. Willis et. al. seem to think thin...You are correct. Willis <i>et. al.</i> seem to think things just happen, and there is no need or possibility to explain them. Yet it is the job of scientists to explain things that happen. That is the basic difference in mindset.D.C.Pettersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05078422582348328238noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-19145138904591342212016-06-12T02:24:50.500+10:002016-06-12T02:24:50.500+10:00I don't see a problem with Willis' use of ...I don't see a problem with Willis' use of TRMM - if you do the analysis right then you should be able to use it for this sort of thing. <br /><br />The paper identified rainfall pattern changes over thousands of years and tried to explain why. Willis looks at patterns over 15 years and decides there's "no need to invoke any such special mechanisms to explain rainfall shifts that are “antiphased” to rainfall shifts in other areas" because "such antiphasing is the rule...and the world goes on."<br /><br />Willis' problem seems to be that scientists are doing science to try and explain the real world rather than just accepting that's how things are. <br /><br />That hints at a basic difference in outlook and approach that helps to explain why people like Willis haven't convinced climate scientists, and climate scientists haven't convinced Willis. MarkRnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-58176926693905795502016-06-11T23:42:09.744+10:002016-06-11T23:42:09.744+10:00This confirms everything Tisdale has ever written!...This confirms everything Tisdale has ever written!!!<br /><br />JCHnoreply@blogger.com