tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post752049339262762104..comments2024-03-25T05:30:23.847+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: WUWT is utter nutter heaven: David "funny sunny" Archibald sez his ice age is comethingSouhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger22125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-34866396623813832352015-05-11T00:14:00.279+10:002015-05-11T00:14:00.279+10:00Thanks, George. Many people around here have been ...Thanks, George. Many people around here have been talking about the lack of rain. My mother said that they'd just had the driest stretch on record where she lives (and no, I didn't bring up the subject). So that is suggestive of an El Nino - though where I live in the next valley, we've had our share these past few weeks. <br /><br />So I won't be surprised if there's a big El Nino event. Nor will I be surprised if there's not - the Pacific seems to have a mind of its own these days - so hard to tell what will happen. Predictions aren't easy even with knowledge of the past. With unprecedented climate change - and with it happening so fast (geologically speaking) - they seem to be getting harder.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-88310006053957824252015-05-11T00:01:48.069+10:002015-05-11T00:01:48.069+10:00Hi Sou
I'm unsure of the provenance of some o...Hi Sou<br /><br />I'm unsure of the provenance of some of the observations in the article below - and it would be wise not to infer any direct link between these occurrences and general climate change impacts - but I'm constantly surprised how interlinked and complex the interaction is between climate and flora/fauna in our natural environment.<br /><br />http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/04/30/1380954/-Super-El-Nino-Likely-as-Huge-Warm-Water-Wave-Hits-West-Coast-Extreme-Marine-Die-Off-Developing<br />George Bailleynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-4669959732899022532015-05-09T14:40:12.099+10:002015-05-09T14:40:12.099+10:00Thanks, George. The charts you posted earlier are ...Thanks, George. The charts you posted earlier are suggestive, aren't they. It will be interesting to see whether it will be a full blown event or another fizzer.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-56001921820724853992015-05-09T14:30:54.837+10:002015-05-09T14:30:54.837+10:00Sou
I'd expect the BoM will come out next Tue...Sou<br /><br />I'd expect the BoM will come out next Tuesday with a very definitive statement. Interesting story from "The Coversation" perhaps supports this ..<br /><br />https://theconversation.com/will-last-years-predicted-el-nino-happen-this-year-40839<br />George Bailleynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-9211728561379642132015-05-07T00:52:54.809+10:002015-05-07T00:52:54.809+10:00Probably this will just give the "cooling sid...Probably this will just give the "cooling side" a new starting point for their "not warming in x years!"Marconoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-25895082250468925302015-05-07T00:45:08.691+10:002015-05-07T00:45:08.691+10:00Hi Sou
Typed a long comment on the portents for a...Hi Sou<br /><br />Typed a long comment on the portents for a significant El Nino - but lost it. Oh well. Here is the abbreviated version.<br /><br />The SST's are warming up - http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/sst_weekly.gif<br /><br />The subsurface is dramatically warm - http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/sub_surf_mon.gif<br /><br />A strong westerly wind burst is going to drive the anomaly further west and to the surface - http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/carl/weather/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.png<br /><br />Model are forecasting serious warming - http://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/seasonal/nino-plumes-public-charts-long-range-forecast?nino_area=3.4&forecast_type_and_skill_measures=plumes<br /><br />If (and it is always an IF with long range El Nino forecasts) this comes to fruition I wouldn't want to be on the cooling side of the climate “discussion”.<br /><br />George<br />George Bailleynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-39025503865189452492015-05-07T00:35:59.954+10:002015-05-07T00:35:59.954+10:00May I make a request for denier predictions that p...May I make a request for denier predictions that proved true? If there are any,,,Mighty Drunkenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07111065683737068582noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-39928361363574256392015-05-06T19:11:55.770+10:002015-05-06T19:11:55.770+10:00" Is he nuts to claim his prediction is "..." Is he nuts to claim his prediction is "coming true"? What word would you use to describe his fantasy?"<br /><br />Malice.<br />There is no innocence in climate revisionism.cRR Kampenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07571285063752477448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-43181295958534160192015-05-06T05:02:00.613+10:002015-05-06T05:02:00.613+10:00I second the interest in another review of denier ...I second the interest in another review of denier failed predictionsJoenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-13545136213794476002015-05-06T02:15:26.038+10:002015-05-06T02:15:26.038+10:00Well I'd love to see that. Let me thank you ag...Well I'd love to see that. Let me thank you again for all your efforts, Sou. They're very much appreciated.Prince Mishkinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00598981079816801276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-58050774223995306482015-05-06T01:52:23.700+10:002015-05-06T01:52:23.700+10:00Pierre Gosselin who owns notrickzone, made a predi...Pierre Gosselin who owns notrickzone, <a href="http://blog.hotwhopper.com/2013/07/denier-weirdness-collection-of-alarmist.html#gosselin" rel="nofollow">made a prediction</a> back in 2008. He predicted that global surface temperature anomaly would <a href="https://archive.is/tZT6V#selection-6859.0-6885.15" rel="nofollow">drop to minus 2.5C by 2020</a>. That's a degree colder than David "funny sunny" Archibald's prediction. (Bob Tisdale, who complains endlessly because climate models aren't weather forecasts, predicted that the world was in for "50 to 60 years" of cooling, "counteracting most if not all of the warming over the last 60 years" - to 2008.)<br /><br />Maybe it's time I did another review of denier's failed predictions.Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-54752359760067659012015-05-06T01:37:02.368+10:002015-05-06T01:37:02.368+10:00Using the Brakey method, if the temperature starte...Using the Brakey method, if the temperature started out at -2 F, and then <b>rose</b> to 0 F, it actually <b>cooled</b> by 100%.<br /><br />Note, please, that Mike Brakey is described as "engineering physicist and energy expert".The_Jnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-11130759743686307382015-05-06T01:15:53.736+10:002015-05-06T01:15:53.736+10:00Oh boy! That's both funny and sad.Oh boy! That's both funny and sad.Prince Mishkinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00598981079816801276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-33088987055177764002015-05-06T00:27:27.844+10:002015-05-06T00:27:27.844+10:00The Archibald post is a joke, but for some amuseme...The Archibald post is a joke, but for some amusement, follow the first link and check out the post it's based on, by Mike Brakey at No Tricks Zone. <br /><br />He calculates the change in temperature as a percentage of its fahrenheit value -- for example, if the temperature was 40 F and it decreases by 4 F, it's a 10% drop. <br /><br />If he'd been smart, he would have listed all his numbers in celsius; the percentages would be bigger.<br /><br />No word on what percentage Brakey would calculate if the temperature started out at 0 and increased or decreased by a degree.<br /><br />What I'm wondering, though, is how NOAA knew in 2013 what the mean annual temperature would be in 2014 (see Brakey's Figure 1). That sure seems like ironclad proof that NOAA is faking their data... :-)The_Jnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-62930379154087697672015-05-05T22:55:57.043+10:002015-05-05T22:55:57.043+10:00As bafflingly clueless as are Archibald and his WU...As bafflingly clueless as are Archibald and his WUWTian friends, one has to remember that the Australian government is peopled by folk of this same extreme level of ignorance, delusion, and bias. And/or psychopathy.<br /><br />We can laugh at the WUWT fiasco until we realise that the same sort of clowns are at the helm of our country, and are responsible for much of the current delay manifesting across the planet.<br /><br />There are not enough facepalms.Bernard J.noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-2429363077012452162015-05-05T20:31:26.876+10:002015-05-05T20:31:26.876+10:00Archibald could easily not know about Rahmstorf et...Archibald could easily not know about Rahmstorf et al: he is an utter crackpot from a parallel reality. He is either bone lazy, or thinks his laughable 'papers' really do offer adequate support for his findings. Either option does not give one much hope for his sanity.Nickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09537772941984056434noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-76065243749597843662015-05-05T19:34:02.825+10:002015-05-05T19:34:02.825+10:00So the cool spot is due to the proximity of a melt...So the cool spot is due to the proximity of a melting block of ice called Greenland? An 'ice age' prediction due to melting ice - maybe Archibald should move into satire for a career.Millicentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-25532785988337895242015-05-05T18:14:07.444+10:002015-05-05T18:14:07.444+10:00Jaw dropping. The fact that wuwters are prepared t...Jaw dropping. The fact that wuwters are prepared to defend such nonsense says pretty much everything.Prince Mishkinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00598981079816801276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-84460647703643606652015-05-05T17:49:48.286+10:002015-05-05T17:49:48.286+10:00It's worth mentioning that a Rahmstorf et al. ...It's worth mentioning that a Rahmstorf et al. paper recently pointed to that very same North Atlantic cool spot as evidence for the long-anticipated slowing of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) consequent to AGW. Archibald couldn't possibly not know about the paper, yet there's no mention of it. None of the commenters picked up on it either. Steve Bloomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12943109973917998380noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-1677746302821822252015-05-05T16:16:52.962+10:002015-05-05T16:16:52.962+10:00David claims "it's the sun"! Hence h...David claims "<a href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm" rel="nofollow">it's the sun</a>"! Hence his nickname "funny sunny".Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-72180344872212129662015-05-05T15:43:39.152+10:002015-05-05T15:43:39.152+10:00So what did the little numpty say is causing this ...So what did the little numpty say is causing this ice age - Climate Elves?Millicentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-11764536000567018382015-05-05T15:22:20.300+10:002015-05-05T15:22:20.300+10:00Jesus Christ!Jesus Christ!PGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10807913317731807617noreply@blogger.com