tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post7117459120380284374..comments2024-03-25T05:30:23.847+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Watching the global thermometer - year to date GISTemp with a very hot November 2015Souhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger40125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-44789533181485016722015-12-24T06:43:08.455+11:002015-12-24T06:43:08.455+11:00I should run numbers on a few ways to improve my o...I should run numbers on a few ways to improve my own usage.<br /><br />I'm pretty sure the biggest thing would be a heat pump, replacing (or augmenting) resistive heat.<br /><br />Solar panels would take me forever to pay off at 45N with decent cloud cover, and I'd be displacing hydro. So I'll leave the panels for ye who still use coal.numerobisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-5720089814638496102015-12-18T21:07:20.160+11:002015-12-18T21:07:20.160+11:00Meantime, middle of winter, Holland is working on ...Meantime, middle of winter, Holland is working on its year average using temps belonging to the middle of May (modern times May). cRR Kampenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07571285063752477448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-57629130900656629532015-12-18T21:06:02.059+11:002015-12-18T21:06:02.059+11:00Tomorrow the Dec record for Adelaide should go. It...Tomorrow the Dec record for Adelaide should go. It is by then exactly two years old, so that was SOME hiatus...cRR Kampenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07571285063752477448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-54957643281636897132015-12-18T20:20:54.329+11:002015-12-18T20:20:54.329+11:00I reckon we'd do better to show people that th...I reckon we'd do better to show people that their "high carbon slob" lifestyles aren't really in much danger. Presuming that their slob lifestyle is the middle class style slob rather than the too-poor-to-change-much of their activities or purchases. Anyone with a couple of kids and a few large tvs and computers and appliances all over the place can support all of those things _without_changing_anything just by investing in enough solar panels. I realise that not everyone has the commercial contacts to imitate one of my relatives to instal a whole roof's worth of solar panels at a bargain price. However, they spent about $26000 on that and they used to have quarterly bills exceeding $1000 - not many, they freaked out when they saw the second one, following the first one that they thought was an aberration because they'd moved into a new house. However, ever since then they've had no bills at all and several substantial credits from the FIT. Getting $3000 to $4000 annual return on a $26000 investment is pretty good. The return would be even more if they moderated their behaviour but they don't see the need. I reckon their next big decision will be when they replace a car. They're over 200 kms from Adelaide so an EV might be a problem, but most of their travel is very local short distance stuff, much shorter and quicker than similar travel in the city and suburbs, so a hybrid would be a good option if they chose it. <br /><br />Recommending solar hot water, or solar PV or solar PV + rechargeable car shouldn't be too much for most people. No worries if people don't immediately agree with such suggestions. <br /><br />Sow seeds everywhere. Some wouldn't work in the best conditions. Others will respond gradually to such suggestions coming from a dozen different people or businesses or relatives. Your contribution might be the first which is dismissed, the first which strikes a now-receptive mind or the last which results in a definite yes - or any one of the many along that path. <br /> <br />Note: Of course, you may or may not want to mention that, once you have solar PV, your attitude to power use can change. If you have a big enough installation, you start thinking in terms of reducing use, turning things off, as a way to increase your rebate if there's an FIT or to decrease your usage so that your bill is reduced enough to increase your ROI on the cost of panels. We get about $1000 per annum on our initial not quite $5000 outlay. There's no investment to compare. (We did quite well on a cheap offer and a fairly high FIT, but even without such a high return, we'd still be doing pretty well.) adeladynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-45641999671654217342015-12-18T14:05:40.763+11:002015-12-18T14:05:40.763+11:00The best part is the barbecueing of kittens and th...The best part is the barbecueing of kittens and the ritual sexual abuse of wildebeest.Contrail Chooknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-52408698086362952752015-12-18T09:52:07.002+11:002015-12-18T09:52:07.002+11:00We saw something similar in southern Oz. An unusua...We saw something similar in southern Oz. An unusually mild spell in late winter brought on new season growth on a backyard lemon tree, and a hard frost knocked it back (badly)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-70901549764615972812015-12-18T00:59:58.843+11:002015-12-18T00:59:58.843+11:00Magma, magma, magma...that's just what they ac...Magma, magma, magma...that's just what they act like in the public portions. The REAL meetings take place down in the basement where the plots for world domination continue to be planned out in ever more significant detail.jgnfldnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-82505903894459803552015-12-18T00:42:51.148+11:002015-12-18T00:42:51.148+11:00Well, of course it would. The ABM became part of t...Well, of course it would. The ABM became part of the vast Agenda 21 global conspiracy <i>years</i> ago.<br /><br />To look at all those casually-dressed, modestly-paid apparently harmless and friendly geoscientists meeting in San Francisco this week you'd never guess they were our future ruthless overlords or their lackeys.<br /><br />It just goes to show how deep the conspiracy goes.Magmanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-76378369370027622052015-12-18T00:23:01.259+11:002015-12-18T00:23:01.259+11:00It's been very warm for December here in Victo...It's been very warm for December here in Victoria as well. The heat wave in South Australia is heading east. I thought it was hot enough the last few days, but for the next three days it's forecast here to be from 39C to 41C - more typical of later in January and early February (these days).Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-59339292670302978382015-12-18T00:06:43.846+11:002015-12-18T00:06:43.846+11:00I wonder how long it will be before the people aro...I wonder how long it will be before the people around me accept that they have to choose between their high carbon slob lifestyles and their children's futures. Or have they already chosen?Millicentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-44264887279510188702015-12-17T23:39:47.279+11:002015-12-17T23:39:47.279+11:00Adelaide swelters and the Australian Bureau of Met...Adelaide swelters and the Australian Bureau of Meterology has no hesitation in acknowledging that it's a sign of global warming:<br /><br /><a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-12-17/climate-change-at-work-in-adelaide/7035926" rel="nofollow">http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-12-17/climate-change-at-work-in-adelaide/7035926</a>Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-56446269816655577292015-12-17T20:22:44.611+11:002015-12-17T20:22:44.611+11:00El Niño criteria bases on temp anomalies.
SST'...El Niño criteria bases on temp anomalies. <br />SST's get hotter with CC, therefore El Niños get hotter.<br />Since 1998 there's been 17 years of additional warming. If you subtract this trend you may find this year's El Niño to be same or a little weaker than 1997-1998. <br /><br />It is not only El Niño that is making for record global warmth by the way. The 'Warm Blob' is an anomaly on El Niño conditions. CC itself was good enough to set 2014 #1 before El Niño kicked into this year.cRR Kampenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07571285063752477448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-46294430259947130272015-12-17T17:43:03.849+11:002015-12-17T17:43:03.849+11:00Easy: It is those data cooking world domination se...Easy: It is those data cooking world domination seeking conspiratorial climate scientists.. Sold their souls to UN.. You know.. ;)0^0https://www.blogger.com/profile/09590270703159793784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-28262394518818676002015-12-17T16:41:34.215+11:002015-12-17T16:41:34.215+11:00But why then is this El Niño so much warmer than a...But why then is this El Niño so much warmer than any other recorded El Niño ?<br />That's a bit hard to wiggle out of.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12083190014669867976noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-35015191054511765632015-12-17T12:31:34.735+11:002015-12-17T12:31:34.735+11:00I believe my uncle has said that one of his trees ...I believe my uncle has said that one of his trees (they live in the middle of Ohio) is blossoming right now. First thing I thought of was how likely it would be for the tree to die this winter from a late frost.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02320395147911342848noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-26363487934683061702015-12-17T09:52:29.686+11:002015-12-17T09:52:29.686+11:00Well, the denier tactic after their latest faux pa...Well, the denier tactic after their latest faux pause draws to end will be to claim that the increase actually took place over a couple of years only, and global temp was "constant" before and after.. So they then can sum all these eye balled "hiatuses" together to a very long pause.. <br /><br />It does not matter for them that it is uter nonsense and does not pass any real statistical scrutiny.. Their current "pause" has been pretty similar case anyway, and has been accepted / endorsed by Curry and others who in principle should know that you cannot honestly analyze / describe a physical phenomenon by forgetting all older data and starting only from a point carefully cherry picked for producing flat line.. Utter nonsense..0^0https://www.blogger.com/profile/09590270703159793784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-8597124141899617642015-12-17T04:56:33.272+11:002015-12-17T04:56:33.272+11:00Across the pond from holland, Eastern Canada has h...Across the pond from holland, Eastern Canada has had a December where the coldest low is the 1980-2000 normal high, and it's staying that way ok month long. No snow within a day's drive of Montreal, except possibly on the highest mountain anywhere nearby (but even that's not for sure).numerobisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-62441932949115924932015-12-17T01:02:49.106+11:002015-12-17T01:02:49.106+11:00It's hard to fathom. Really. Even if you'r...It's hard to fathom. Really. Even if you're inside it and it is actually happening. <br />A number of trees won't blossom much coming spring, because they're doing it now. <br /><br />"Extreme weather records are rarely broken to this degree of difference.." - this is a crucial and imo hugely underestimate aspect of climate change. Wrt precip numbers even more relevant (some records in e.g. Texas got doubled).<br />cRR Kampenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07571285063752477448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-90521904632027741622015-12-16T23:09:58.455+11:002015-12-16T23:09:58.455+11:00"Holland is building a December whose average..."<i>Holland is building a December whose average minimum temp will come out above the record warmest December (regular, daily average temp) of 1974.</i><br><br>Just stop and think about that, people. Really, think about it.<br><br>"<i>This winter month will surpass a normal (today's normal) April. It will smash the old record with over two degrees C margin.</i>"<br><br>Extreme weather records are rarely broken to this degree of difference, quite apart from the increasing frequency at which such records are broken.<br><br>And still humans are unable to grok that they're in a saucepan of boiling water...<br><br>That thing that's <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tpiwRN6OA2A" rel="nofollow">coming toward us very fast</a>? It's natural selection, and it really doesn't want to be friends with us.<br><br>On an evolutionary scale we have about two shakes of a lambs tail left during which to pull a species-level Macgyver trick from our hat.Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-14694150879381604262015-12-16T23:08:23.404+11:002015-12-16T23:08:23.404+11:00This comment has been removed by the author.Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-85967105468672930382015-12-16T20:26:30.465+11:002015-12-16T20:26:30.465+11:00Holland is building a December whose average minim...Holland is building a December whose average minimum temp will come out above the record warmest December (regular, daily average temp) of 1974. <br />This winter month will surpass a normal (today's normal) April. It will smash the old record with over two degrees C margin.cRR Kampenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07571285063752477448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-25685867171926089592015-12-16T12:20:57.073+11:002015-12-16T12:20:57.073+11:00More seriously, using GISTemp, the hottest meteoro...More seriously, using GISTemp, the hottest meteorological years were 2010 and 2014, both with an anomaly of 0.73 °C. This past year (Dec - Nov) the anomaly was 0.84 °C. That's the hottest ever on record by 0.11 °C.<br /><br />To compare with the El Nino of 1997-98:<br /><br />1997 at 0.46 °C was the equal hottest on record with 1995.<br /><br />1998 at 0.64 °C was the hottest on record beating the 95 and 97 records by 0.18 °C.<br /><br />The question is, what will the second year of this El Nino bring? Will it also be much hotter, like 1998 was? Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-60306227363758720542015-12-16T12:10:23.122+11:002015-12-16T12:10:23.122+11:00>>the shortest day of the year is about 21 D...>>the shortest day of the year is about 21 December<br /><br />The days are getting longer here :)Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-15265183280523182842015-12-16T10:27:36.163+11:002015-12-16T10:27:36.163+11:00Years of living in Western countries have inculcat...Years of living in Western countries have inculcated us with the notion that a year must begin on 1 January and end on 31 December. That division of the yearly spin around the Sun is about 2000 years old and doesn't begin to capture the physics of the natural world. For example, the shortest day of the year is about 21 December. The same may be said about dividing the year into months with varying numbers of days. From a scientific point of view, the meteorological year begins about 1 December and ends on 30 November. From this perspective, the weather year 2015 is already in the can, so to speak. There's no need to wait until after 1 January to proclaim 2015 to be a record...E. Swansonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16458400506150142847noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-228144469914645922015-12-16T00:30:30.913+11:002015-12-16T00:30:30.913+11:00The most useful thing to come out of the COP21 agr...The most useful thing to come out of the COP21 agreement - if it happens - would be the impetus for the big nations to implement a revenue-neutral carbon tax at source. Other countries would surely follow the lead.<br /><br />P.S. Getting the "I'm not a robot" tick-box every time now using OpenID. Wahey!<br /><br />Hansen is probably rightly skeptical that it won't happen. Hope for humanity's sake it does sooner rather than later though. But the brain-dead Rethuglicans will surely block it in the States, until we vote out those idiots in the pockets of the fossil fuel corporations.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com