tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post7056250182215891186..comments2024-03-25T05:30:23.847+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Another misleading WUWT headline, this one about wildfire Souhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-12448842138675840252016-05-26T23:45:47.404+10:002016-05-26T23:45:47.404+10:00@Nick: this is apparently not an appropriate conte...@Nick: this is apparently not an appropriate context for "land-use change" in WUWTer World.Cugelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-45160520314861304882016-05-26T14:23:19.579+10:002016-05-26T14:23:19.579+10:00I rode through the smoke from a wildfire in the Ar...I rode through the smoke from a wildfire in the Arizona (Southwest United States) mountains this morning. The road I took used to border miles-long lakes. Today, those lakes were meadows covered by wind-whipped smoke. The wildfire is early for the year and, sure that's weather, but how many years of drought did it take to turn those lakes into meadows?Constant Gardnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14509855164424268208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-65236648293537943492016-05-26T12:21:06.792+10:002016-05-26T12:21:06.792+10:00Fort McMurray is still under mandatory evacuation;...Fort McMurray is still under mandatory evacuation; they're hoping to let people in starting June 1, but really only have the town back in action starting June 15 or so.<br /><br />The fire flared up again last week, after a couple of weeks of slow burn; they expect it to be episodic like that all summer long.numerobisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-16268077821878788322016-05-26T11:20:31.431+10:002016-05-26T11:20:31.431+10:00I'd been wondering about the continuation at F...I'd been wondering about the continuation at Fort McMurracy and Earth Observatory provided an answer today:<br />http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/view.php?id=88090&src=nha<br /><br />Picture = 1000 wordsSusan Andersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16935228911713362040noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-52237545310102518562016-05-26T10:14:09.514+10:002016-05-26T10:14:09.514+10:00Yes, that and the fact that centuries ago fire ser...Yes, that and the fact that centuries ago fire services were not, shall we say, quite as advanced (or as prolific). Souhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-12032600242130460822016-05-26T09:41:18.261+10:002016-05-26T09:41:18.261+10:00Less wildfire than centuries ago?
Is that a surpri...Less wildfire than centuries ago?<br />Is that a surprise?<br />There is less forest to burn. Would that not be the major element in the equation, even accounting for the massive increase in human numbers and thus the interactions with forest?<br />While wildfire likely increased with the arrival of Europeans into the Americas and Australia, it then would decline with the suppression of indigenous people's burning practices, the large decrease in forest and woodland area, and the advent and spread of 'forest management'.<br /><br />But I'm just musing...what is the definition of 'wildfire' used in this one study and how consistent is it in the papers in this special edition? How many tens of thousands of 'controlled burns' are set globally annually?Nickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09537772941984056434noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-16072270298191073292016-05-26T07:10:22.069+10:002016-05-26T07:10:22.069+10:00This is timely for me, and I'll have to keep a...This is timely for me, and I'll have to keep an eye on it. I'm moving to the mountains of Colorado in a few years.D.C.Pettersonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05078422582348328238noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-6474803683157903702016-05-26T06:44:36.727+10:002016-05-26T06:44:36.727+10:00hopefully they will sort it out in july
https://...hopefully they will sort it out in july <br /><br />https://theconversation.com/fires-are-increasing-in-warming-world-but-a-new-model-could-help-us-predict-them-54466 john byattnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-46902633740511133062016-05-26T06:17:21.367+10:002016-05-26T06:17:21.367+10:00Climate Central has several referenced posts and r...Climate Central has several referenced posts and reports that strongly suggest otherwise for western North America:<br />http://www.climatecentral.org/news/alaska-entering-new-era-for-wildfires-19146<br />http://www.climatecentral.org/news/climate-context-fort-mcmurray-wildfire-20311<br />http://www.climatecentral.org/news/large-wildfires-more-common-destructive-19387<br />https://www.climatecentral.org/wgts/wildfires/Wildfires2012.pdf<br />Tokodavenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-40580745024984028732016-05-26T03:10:22.678+10:002016-05-26T03:10:22.678+10:00Contrary to the WUWT headline, the actual paper me...Contrary to the WUWT headline, the actual paper mentions climate change often, in connection with both recent observed trends and future projections. For example:<br /><br />"Strong trends in Southwestern wildfire that do not appear to be associated with changes in the regional timing of spring index may lend support to the observations and argument that human-induced changes in forest composition, density and structure are particularly important to changes in wildfire in Southwestern forests [30]. At the same time, the start of the Southwestern fire season—as indicated by the date of first large-fire discovery—has shifted more than 50 days earlier since the 1970s, accounting for about one-third of the increase in the length of the fire season there (table 3). The substantially earlier SW fire season start is consistent with warmer temperatures and earlier spring seasons leading to earlier flammability of fuels in SW forests."<br /><br />and<br /><br />"Given projections for further drying within the region due to human-induced warming, this study underlines the potential for further increases in wildfire activity [7,13,13]."L Hamiltonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08402287979212116506noreply@blogger.com