tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post5616724250749524412..comments2024-03-25T05:30:23.847+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Hottest February by far at a whopping 1.35 C above the 1951-1980 meanSouhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger19125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-6563529546045312662016-03-15T22:17:36.284+11:002016-03-15T22:17:36.284+11:00Ignored but still chugging along, UAH 5.6 put Febr...Ignored but still chugging along, UAH 5.6 put February at 0.90C, beating the previous record of 0.66C, set in 1998.Bellmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04872924578152375407noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-87811818357026102872016-03-15T14:34:09.993+11:002016-03-15T14:34:09.993+11:00It's the magnitude of the Arctic anomaly as de...It's the magnitude of the Arctic anomaly as depicted in figure 3 that particularly concerns me. There's the range of immediate ecological consequences that such warming portends, but there's also the fact that that's where a lot of methane is locked up in permafrost...<br /><br />I know that there are many climate scientists who discount the methane bomb notion, but if this anomalous warming of the Arctic becomes usual rather than an extraordinarily rare occurrence, we may already have left Kansas far behind. <br /><br />For mine, I'm convinced that 1.5°C was left behind several years ago, and that we're probably already effectively too late to avoid 2°C short of imminent global nuclear war or pandemic. On the current <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/10/co2-levels-make-largest-recorded-annual-leap-noaa-data-shows" rel="nofollow">escalating trend in atmospheric CO2 concentration</a>, and given the almost total lack of response of the international community since COP21 in Paris and since Francis' encyclical, I can see no mechanism where we don't emit sufficient CO2 to scorch our civilisation from the planet.<br /><br />Even without an unexpectedly huge slug of methane burping into the atmosphere it's likely that the known committments and feedings back are sufficient to put us closer to 3°C than 2°C. And no, the remarkable uptake of renewables doesn't assuage my concerns. See the above link and also <a href="https://www.co2.earth/co2-acceleration" rel="nofollow">here</a>. Jevon's paradox seems to be operating under full steam, because for all the explosion in solar and wind it hasn't been sufficient to alter the escalating trajectory of CO2 emissions.<br /><br />And Larry Marshall thinks that now is a great time to cut funding to the CSIRO's climate science division... The guy's playing chicken with a freight train, and he has on his bus a nation (and a planet) of passengers along for the ride.<br /><br />To use a (related...) bushfire analogy, humanity is now at the <a href="http://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/alert-levels" rel="nofollow">watch and act</a> level of alert. And yet we seem to be sitting in front of our collective televisions transfixed by inane pap and triviality.<br /><br />It's time for Plan B.<br /><br />If only we had one...Bernard J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16299073166371273808noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-53957094858045560022016-03-15T12:29:44.129+11:002016-03-15T12:29:44.129+11:00This comment has been removed by the author.Bellmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04872924578152375407noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-36947204605527679362016-03-15T09:33:28.281+11:002016-03-15T09:33:28.281+11:00Global mean temps rose from between 4-6 K from the...Global mean temps rose from between 4-6 K from the LGM to Holocene Optimum, so a 1.35 K anomaly from the 1951-1980 mean represents between 23-34% of the difference between a deep ice age and the climate in which our civilization developed.Brandon R. Gateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17031044715994785956noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-1524931836326096032016-03-15T06:53:19.655+11:002016-03-15T06:53:19.655+11:00Percentages of temperatures is problematic, since ...Percentages of temperatures is problematic, since the 0 point is essentially arbitrary. Really, you'd want to do the calculation in Kelvin for it to be meaningful. That would only show a 0.5% increase though, and that doesn't convey the urgency. The analogy to body temperature is a more effective argument.Greg Charleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08783955694932149447noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-34757278218882025002016-03-15T06:11:31.195+11:002016-03-15T06:11:31.195+11:00I haven't seen how the updated RSS compares to...I haven't seen how the updated RSS compares to the most current UAH dataset, so I'm not sure how they now line up, but if the current UAH assessment is better than the new RSS, then I wonder if Curry thinks that the UAH is also better than the older RSS. If that's the case, then isn't she going against the "gold standard" that is RSS and actually supporting a dataset in UAH that shows more of a warming trend?Raynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-73301356965398464662016-03-15T03:14:10.501+11:002016-03-15T03:14:10.501+11:00Taking 14C as the 'normal' global surface ...Taking 14C as the 'normal' global surface temperature for the 1951-1980 period, then an anomaly of +1.35C is an increase above 'normal' of about 10%.<br /><br />Using human body temperature as an analogy (which may or may not be appropriate, but is interesting anyway); a 10% increase over 37C gives ~40.5C.<br /><br />By at least one definition, a body temperature of >40C can be treated as hyperpyrexia, which "is considered a medical emergency as it may indicate a serious underlying condition or lead to significant side effects." <br /><br />"Immediate aggressive cooling... has been found to improve survival."<br /><br />Oh dear.DavidRnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-52613841695068145852016-03-14T17:11:22.516+11:002016-03-14T17:11:22.516+11:00Delusion is bliss. Must be nice.Delusion is bliss. Must be nice.Brandon R. Gateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17031044715994785956noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-8696807606877030312016-03-14T14:33:17.596+11:002016-03-14T14:33:17.596+11:00Looks like the 'plateau' may be no more..o...Looks like the 'plateau' may be no more..of course it <br />was bs from start. Nice proof of this would be a graph of the thirty year average over the last fifty years, as every year has been above the average, it'only going one way... straight to hell..lolmethane madnessnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-35306865073907113332016-03-14T13:42:14.708+11:002016-03-14T13:42:14.708+11:00Being unpublished automatically renders it Judith-...Being unpublished automatically renders it <i><b>Judith-Worthy.</b></i>PGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10807913317731807617noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-61406563287828069222016-03-14T11:04:01.864+11:002016-03-14T11:04:01.864+11:00One wonders how she managed to assess an unpublish...One wonders how she managed to assess an unpublished method.MartinMhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12378483250151121375noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-9008746262451215932016-03-14T08:57:51.943+11:002016-03-14T08:57:51.943+11:00The Russians have secretly assembled another 5,000...The Russians have secretly assembled another 5,000 km of steam pipes.Millicentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-20051831206567349092016-03-14T08:32:06.900+11:002016-03-14T08:32:06.900+11:00As one might suspect, the land-based Northern Hemi...As one might suspect, the land-based Northern Hemisphere GISTEMP anomaly for February is even greater: 2.36 °C. This means many temperate regions experienced February temperatures that were more characteristic of March throughout most of the 20th century.Magmanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-24151073024777422672016-03-14T08:15:23.177+11:002016-03-14T08:15:23.177+11:00yep, classic pretentious attention seekeryep, classic pretentious attention seekerTadaaahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07736188830660481871noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-80776491970347663582016-03-14T05:26:47.931+11:002016-03-14T05:26:47.931+11:00My guess is that Curry didn't post an 'ass...My guess is that Curry didn't post an 'assessment' because she can't muster one. She strikes me a being a complete poser.<br /><br />LurkerAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-3457157481283544412016-03-14T02:44:21.901+11:002016-03-14T02:44:21.901+11:00Judith Curry posted Spencer and Christy's blog...Judith Curry posted Spencer and Christy's blog comments on RSS V4 TMT. She didn't post Mears response to their comments.<br /><br />Then she claims "There is a legitimate debate on how to correct for the diurnal cycle, but based on my assessment, the UAH empirically based approach seems better." - but posts no 'assessment'.<br /><br />Then she posts that she agrees with Bob Tisdale's article on WUWT.<br /><br />https://judithcurry.com/2016/03/06/end-of-the-satellite-data-pause/#comments<br /><br /><br />WTFUWT?Ceisthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12831378692022001009noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-90277278268278834302016-03-14T01:24:32.902+11:002016-03-14T01:24:32.902+11:00==> "There aren't a lot of comments so...==> "There aren't a lot of comments so far. '<br /><br />Interesting. Only 28 "thoughts" so far. Seems that the post hasn't captured the attention of too many WUWT readers. Surprising, given that it's about the recent trend of temperatures - a topic that WUWT readers generally find worthy of a lot of discussion.<br /><br />I wonder what might explain their relative lack of interest in Bob's recent post? I just can't imagine what the explanation might be. Joshuahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08058404311263880189noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-68917136742825331502016-03-14T00:41:26.897+11:002016-03-14T00:41:26.897+11:00It's just NASA scientists panicking over the p...It's just NASA scientists panicking over the prospect of a Trump presidency and dialing their secret Arctic volcanic heating coils to 11. And the NOAA has probably turned its El Nino heat pump to High too.Magmanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-30432805633622398312016-03-13T20:24:28.666+11:002016-03-13T20:24:28.666+11:00I try to keep a level head about this issue, but F...I try to keep a level head about this issue, but Figure 4 scares the crap out of me.Brandon R. Gateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17031044715994785956noreply@blogger.com