tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post1795518100677416653..comments2024-03-25T05:30:23.847+11:00Comments on HotWhopper: Has Anthony Watts just declared he now rejects AGW?Souhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08818999735123752034noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-53153339365263662332013-08-30T05:57:35.493+10:002013-08-30T05:57:35.493+10:00I have to agree with you here, although it is hard...I have to agree with you here, although it is hardly alone in that. But I sometimes find myself wishing - as now - that the authors of studies which they must surely know may be misrepresented took extra care over their final draft. BBDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10687930416706386215noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-47942037909609781972013-08-29T17:44:49.449+10:002013-08-29T17:44:49.449+10:00To be blunt I think that the paper suffers from po...To be blunt I think that the paper suffers from poor editing. <br /><br />The term "hiatus" as used implies a physical pause in the warming of the planet, but all it really is is a statistical variation in the overall <i>surface</i> temperature trajectory - one that results from the complex interaction of physical phenomena. There remains, however, a similarly <i><b>physical</b></i> top-of-atmosphere energy imbalance and hence heat content below is <i>still</i> increasing, irrespective of whether it is masked in the surface temperature record by the interaction of heat-transporting phenomena.<br /><br />The Earth is still acquiring heat, that hasn't stopped: there is no "hiatus" there. It's warming, just not uniformly. The 'greenhouse' effect is still carrying on as usual, and humans are still increasing its action be continuing to emit carbon dioxide. <br /><br />The La Niña shunting of heat away from the surface might be flattening the surface temperature record, but this is not the same as saying that there is a "hiatus".<br /><br />A good editor (or reviewer) would have asked for a better phrasing, such as "decreased accumulation of surface heat" or "masking in the surface temperature record of unabated planetary heat accumulation". As it stands the paper is open to serious misinterpretation, amongst them being Curry's unprofessional ejaculations.<br /><br /><br />Bernard J.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-74413140280228554362013-08-29T15:56:24.663+10:002013-08-29T15:56:24.663+10:00More in the Scripps press release:
http://ucsdnew...More in the Scripps press release:<br /><br />http://ucsdnews.ucsd.edu/pressrelease/solving_the_mysteries_of_hiatus_in_global_warming<br /><br />"When the climate cycle that governs that ocean cooling reverses and begins warming again, the researchers predict that the planet-wide march toward higher temperatures will resume with vigor. The study does not consider when the reversal might happen, but it brings scientists closer to understanding how to look for signs of it."<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12083190014669867976noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-35404361976535195062013-08-29T14:20:21.922+10:002013-08-29T14:20:21.922+10:00. . . And that heat is going into deeper layers of.... . . And that heat is going into deeper layers of the oceans for the most part... right?<br /><br />And ocean warming isn't the coolest thing either... right?citizenschallengehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04559990934735912814noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-37530304913083794222013-08-29T13:56:40.776+10:002013-08-29T13:56:40.776+10:00Watts describes it as a "Mind blowing paper&q...Watts describes it as a "Mind blowing paper" after noticing that Judith Curry had stated "My mind has been blown by a new paper ..."<br /><br />All that "mind blowing" could explain quite a bit. A wonder if he hears rattles when he shakes his head? :-)<br />MikeHnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-46444655682739590982013-08-29T13:49:38.798+10:002013-08-29T13:49:38.798+10:00But Judith Curry is CROWING about how this complet...But Judith Curry is CROWING about how this completely vindicates he gut feeling that natural cycles maybe mean that less than 50% of ACC is due to CO2 and that therefore she has bee RIGHT ALL ALONG and all the consensus people have just ignored uncertainty and now she finally has proof that she is better than they are. <br />Funny because my take on reading what she posted was pretty much the same as yourstonylearnshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15168161576867493109noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2313427464944392482.post-91014684503337782682013-08-29T12:37:33.638+10:002013-08-29T12:37:33.638+10:00Yeah, the paper suggests that the Pacific cycle ca...Yeah, the paper suggests that the Pacific cycle can account for perhaps 0.1°C of the 0.7°C global surface warming since 1950...dana1981https://www.blogger.com/profile/05282075263730326573noreply@blogger.com